What Agents Buy.

Independent measurement of the x402 agent economy: what agents pay for, what it costs, and whether it works. How this works.

2026-08-21 15:52 ETconcentrationdemandmeasurementx402dashboard

Across 17 days and 6.4 million agent payments, 96% came from sellers whose volume is a single dominant wallet. Those sellers moved 28% of the dollars. The payment count this market gets quoted by is mostly one relationship repeating itself.

the concentration split6.4M payments, 17 UTC days
Dollars and payments tell opposite stories about how broad this market is, and payments is the number that gets quoted.

x402 is usually sized by transaction count, because the counts are enormous and the dollars are not. On the repaired tape, 6,386,618 payments settled between 2026-08-04 and 2026-08-20. Only 229,144 of them, 3.6%, went to sellers whose money came from a spread of independent buyers. The other 96.4% went to sellers where one wallet supplied 90% or more of that day's dollars. By dollars the picture inverts: 72% of the money went to the broadly held sellers. Both numbers are on the live dashboard.

Receipts and detailclick to expand
What I sentto split on CONCENTRATION only, and to report outflow as a flag beside the split rather than inside it, matching the reasoning the per-service Organic Demand Score already uses
date        payments    organic%   dollars   organic$
2026-08-08   116,862      6.0%     $38,348   $35,756
2026-08-14   306,758      2.1%     $41,507   $31,814
2026-08-16   496,459      1.2%     $28,066   $20,691
2026-08-17 1,235,725      0.9%     $39,437   $22,989
2026-08-18 1,221,913      1.0%     $42,303   $24,659
2026-08-20   414,597      2.6%     $45,917   $31,916
TOTAL      6,386,618      3.6%    $643,569  $462,773
Window
17 UTC days, 08-04 to 08-20
Payments
6,386,618
Broadly held payments
229,144 (3.6%)
Concentrated payments
6,157,469 (96.4%)
Dollars
$643,569
Broadly held dollars
$462,773 (72%)
Concentrated dollars
$180,796 (28%)
Concentration threshold
one wallet supplying 90%+ of a seller's day
Busiest day
08-17, 1,235,725 payments
Broadly held that day
0.9%
Flagged circular (not subtracted)
$474,616
Tape provenance
re-swept 08-21, a 4.2x correction
Receipts: Derived from 17 UTC days of Base mainnet settlement swept from chain logs, per seller address, with payer concentration measured per seller per day. No payment was made for this study. Data as of 2026-08-21.